Guardians top pitching prospect shut down after setback

Guardians right-hander Gavin Williams, who’s been out all season due to inflammation in his right elbow, experienced continued discomfort after his recent throwing session against live hitters, tweets Mandy Bell of MLB.com. He’ll receive an injection and be shut down for the next seven days before being reevaluated. The team is hopeful that’ll prove sufficient, but it’s an ominous development for the prized young right-hander.

Williams, 24, was Cleveland’s first-round pick in 2021 and debuted in 2023 with considerable fanfare. He entered last season ranked among the sport’s top 50 prospects — as high as No. 20 on Baseball America’s top 100 list — and showed why with an outstanding debut effort. In his first 82 MLB frames, spread across 16 starts, the East Carolina University product posted a strong 3.29 earned run average with a solid 23.5 percent strikeout rate. Williams’ 10.7 percent walk rate was higher than he and the team would’ve preferred, but walks weren’t an issue for him during the 2022 season in the lower minors.

Between Williams, Tanner Bibee and Logan Allen, the Guardians ushered in the next core of their rotation in one fell swoop last season. All three top-100 prospects hit the ground running, albeit to varying extents. But the outlook in Cleveland has changed considerably this season. Shane Bieber’s season is already over after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Triston McKenzie, whom doctors recommended for rest and rehab when he incurred a ligament injury of his own late last year, has seen a sharp velocity dip and hasn’t looked like himself at all. Bibee and Allen have both struggled thus far.

The Guardians have been banking on a healthy Williams returning to the fold to help fill out a rotation that currently includes Bibee, Allen, McKenzie, journeyman Ben Lively and old friend Carlos Carrasco, who’s back on a reunion tour after signing a minor league deal. Prior to today’s news, it looked as though Williams might be able to head out on a rehab assignment in the near future and rejoin the rotation in the middle of next month. That timeline has now been torn up and will hinge on how his elbow responds to the injection.

Cleveland develops pitching better than perhaps any organization in the game, but their ability to do so is being tested at a high level early this season. The Guards can ill afford another long-term absence for one of their key rotation members. Beyond injuries to Bieber and Williams and the previously mentioned struggles of the incumbent arms (McKenzie in particular), prospect Daniel Espino has already been lost for the season due to shoulder surgery — his second in as many years. Fellow prospect Joey Cantillo hasn’t pitched yet this season, as the left-hander suffered a torn hamstring that’ll sideline him for a total of eight to ten weeks. Right-hander Xzavion Curry is an option in Triple-A, but he profiles as a swingman or fifth starter.

The Guards have already added some depth with early acquisitions of righty Zak Kent from the Rangers, Wes Parsons from the Blue Jays and Pedro Avila from the Padres. Any of the bunch could be tasked with stepping into the rotation. However, if the Guards hope to continue at the torrid pace with which they’ve started the season (17-6, +55 run differential), they’ll need to get their current arms healthy and on-track or perhaps eventually look outside the organization.