Predicting Quinton Byfield’s Next Contract With the Kings

A top prospect in the 2019-20 season, Quinton Byfield has always been in Alexis Lafreniere’s shadow. Lafreniere was viewed as one of the next great Canadian forwards, poised to turn a franchise around. Byfield was the consensus second-best prospect, at times leading to fans asking if he could push for the first overall draft pick. Both Byfield and Lafreniere had lackluster starts to their NHL careers but broke out this past season. Lafreniere is a free agent in 2025, but Byfield’s contract expires this offseason. So, what could his next contract look like?

Finding the Value

Byfield is in a unique position entering his next contract. The 21-year-old just finished the final year of his entry-level contract, so there is not much sample size to evaluate. During his first season with the Kings, he played just six games. The following two seasons he had just eight goals and 32 points in 93 games before having 20 goals and 55 points in 80 games this season. While there is little doubt he will continue his success, there is an inherent risk in giving him a lot of money with just one impressive season under his belt.

There are two likely blueprints for his next contract. The first, and more likely, is a bridge deal. This would be a three-year deal where he is once again a restricted free agent when the contract expires. He would still be locked into the Kings’ organization, at least for a few more seasons, as they would maintain team control, but he would also set himself up for a bigger contract extension then if his play continues to improve.

Comparables for Byfield

The three-year deal would be similar to that of Dylan Strome and Martin Necas’ recent contract extensions. Strome and Necas both signed two-year, $3 million average annual value (AAV) deals as restricted free agents. Byfield has similar production to Strome and Necas and is likely in line for a similar value contract if looking for a bridge deal. For a three-year deal, he would likely come in at $3.5 to $4 million AAV, with the contract navigated to have his final year make a qualifying offer in the $7 million range. This structuring idea is common among young players in today’s game, with Charlie McAvoy being one of the notables to utilize this format in negotiations in 2019.

A less likely, but possible contract would be a long-term deal. In the seven to eight-year range, both Byfield and the Kings would be making a gamble. Byfield’s continued development is likely, making it a risk worth taking for Kings’ management, but likely not for Byfield as he would not garner the annual value he may seek.