College basketball odds, prediction for Maryland vs. Penn State for Sunday, March 10

Maryland vs. Penn State Odds

Sunday, March 10, 7:30 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network

Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAB odds here.

Maryland Terrapins

The Terrapins bring a formidable defense to this matchup, ranked seventh in adjusted efficiency, which could pose significant challenges for Penn State's offense. Their ability to limit opponents' shooting effectiveness (16th rank in eFG%), aligns with their strategic defensive scheme.

The Terrapins also excel in forcing turnovers, a factor that could disrupt Penn State's offensive rhythm. However, their offense has struggled with efficiency (320th in eFG%) which could be a concern against Penn State's aggressive defense.

Maryland's strength in drawing fouls and converting at the free-throw line (13th), could be a critical factor in a closely contested game. Their offensive rebounding prowess provides them with second-chance scoring opportunities, an advantage they'll likely leverage.

To overcome Penn State's defense, Maryland will need to capitalize on these strengths while finding ways to enhance their shooting efficiency.

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Penn State Nittany Lions

The Nittany Lions have shown a commendable performance throughout the season, marked by their 85th rank in adjusted efficiency. Their ability to maintain possession (86th in turnover percentage) showcases a disciplined approach to offense.

However, their struggle on the boards is evident (265th), which could hinder second-chance opportunities against a defensively stout Maryland team. Their shooting efficiency, standing at 161st in effective field goal percentage, will need to improve if they are to penetrate Maryland's defense.

Defensively, Penn State has displayed prowess in forcing turnovers (23rd), a testament to their aggressive defensive play. Yet, their vulnerability lies in rebounding (321st). This aspect of their game could be exploited by Maryland's offense, potentially giving the Terrapins additional scoring opportunities.

The disparity in effective field goal percentage allowed (211th), further underscores the need for Penn State to tighten their defensive efforts to secure a win.

Maryland vs Penn State

Betting Pick & Prediction

Considering both teams' strengths and weaknesses, taking Maryland to cover the +1.5 spread seems to be the most prudent bet. Maryland's defensive excellence, combined with their ability to generate second-chance points and capitalize on free throws, positions them well to keep the game within a narrow margin or secure an outright victory.

Although Penn State boasts a dynamic offense capable of creating turnovers, their defensive rebounding vulnerabilities and Maryland's defensive prowess tilt the odds in favor of the Terrapins covering the spread.

This game, set against the backdrop of Penn State's 12-4 home court advantage, does present a risk considering Maryland is 4-7 on the road this season. However, Maryland has already defeated Penn State at home and their stout defense should be able to secure another victory in the final game of the season for them.

Pick: Maryland +1.5