At just over a month into the 2024 MLB season, sportsbooks seem fairly confident that the Los Angeles Dodgers will win the World Series. Which begs the question: Who out West can stop them?
DraftKings lists Dave Roberts's team as the +125 favorites to top the National League in October and the +320 favorites to win the World Series. Since the Dodgers were already favored before the season started, you may think putting money down on them is the way to go.
But not so fast — teams with the shortest odds aren't guaranteed to win. Per Sports Odds History, only two teams since 2010 have won the World Series when their preseason odds were shorter than 10-1. With so much season left, there is reason to believe that one of L.A.'s division rivals could make things interesting even if they are long shots to win.
So, who is going to challenge the Dodgers out West? Here's a look at the competition.
The NL West keeps getting stronger by the day
— MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM (@MLBNetworkRadio) May 4, 2024
The @Padres just added a two time batting champion to their already established lineup. #LetsGoPadres pic.twitter.com/j7Xw7FzAGk
While we really should be considering every NL West team, the Colorado Rockies haven't given us a reason to think they'll be competitive this season. Their 8-26 record is tied for worst in the MLB and they listed at 500-1 at DK to win the West. The longest shot to win the NL pennant was the Atlanta Braves in 1991 at 75-1 odds, so the Rockies don't seem like a long shot you should be backing to beat the Dodgers.
Of the other three teams in the NL West, the Arizona Diamondbacks have the shortest odds of winning the NL pennant. That isn't saying much, however, as DK still has them listed at 120-1. Last year's NL pennant winners are off to a lopsided start this season and they sit at 15-20 alongside the San Francisco Giants. Arizona has wins against the Dodgers, Giants and Padres this season but has also given up a lot of runs and sustained some bad losses, including an 8-0 loss to LA and a 13-1 loss to San Diego.
The D-backs will be in L.A. later this month, and if they have trouble containing the Dodgers yet again, they may not be the team to bet on out West.
The same can probably be said about the Giants, who are 200-1 long shots at DK to win the National League. The Orange and Black were listed at 12-1, 8-1 and 12-1 again in the preseason odds when they won the World Series three times in five years, so oddsmakers are already less enthusiastic about this team finding some consistency.
San Francisco has some star power on this year's roster with Logan Webb maintaining his Cy Young buzz and Jung Hoo Lee being a Rookie of the Year candidate, but injuries to the starting rotation have put the Giants behind the eight ball. They did keep things close with the Dodgers when these teams played in Los Angeles in April, but it's hard to back them to win the West until they can beat the Dodgers or the Padres.
JUNG HOO LEE
— MLB (@MLB) May 4, 2024
(MLB x @Chevrolet) pic.twitter.com/qhFAevSKVf
Which brings us to San Diego, who at 140-1 odds to win the West may be the safest bet — maybe. The Padres are flirting with having a .500 record and just won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. They also got a boost in their lineup when they traded for Luis Arraez and the second baseman set a team record by going 4-for-6 with a double and an RBI, the best start by a Padres player in his team debut. San Diego has also shown they can stand up to L.A., including a 15-11 victory when the SoCal rivals opened up the MLB season in Korea.
However, inconsistency has plagued the Padres as well at the start of the season. They weren't able to complete the series sweep against the Diamondbacks and dropped two out of three against the Giants. San Diego also only won two out of four against the Rockies and a 10-9 decision in Colorado became the start of a five-game losing skid.
The Merrill Mash pic.twitter.com/CQO6mn1h6F
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 5, 2024
All in all, it's probably too early to put money down on one of these long shots out West to match up against the Dodgers in the pennant race, but three of the four are worth keeping an eye on. If any of them find more consistency then their odds are bound to get shorter, and there could be some real competition for who you should back to top the NL West at the end of the season.
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